SVG
Commentary
World Politics Review

Without High-Tech Sector, Russia Doomed to China Trade Imbalance

Senior Fellow and Director, Center for Political-Military Analysis

Russia’s trade with China continues to grow despite the precipitous collapse in the value of the Russian ruble and the unprecedented Western economic sanctions imposed on Russia last year following Moscow’s annexation of the Crimean Peninsula Indeed, China’s economic importance to Moscow has increased as Russia’s commercial relations with Europe, the United States and Japan stagnate. Yet the Russia-China economic relationship is imbalanced, with Russia sending mostly natural resources to China and importing mostly Chinese consumer goods. As a result, the two countries will find it difficult to deepen their economic cooperation much further unless it expands to encompass high-value economic sectors, such as arms and civil nuclear technology.

According to the Chinese government, Russia-China trade amounted to $95.3 billion 2014, a 6.8 percent increase over the 2013 figure of $89.2 billion. China imported $41.6 billion worth of Russian goods, a 4.9 percent rise over the previous year, while it exported $53.7 billion worth of goods to Russia in 2014, an 8.2 percent increase over the 2013 level. These figures made China Russia’s leading trading partner, even as Russia ranked only ninth on the list of China’s largest trade partners. Notwithstanding these large figures, some 80 percent of this trade consisted of the exchange of raw materials such as oil, wood and minerals. ...

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